We humans seem to be extremely good at generating ideas theories and explanations that have the ring of plausibility. We may be relatively deficient however in evaluating and testing our ideas once they are formed
Thomas Gilovich
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For desired conclusions we ask ourselves Can I believe this but for unpalatable conclusions we ask Must I believe this
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People will always prefer blackandwhite over shades of grey and so there will always be the temptation to hold overlysimplified beliefs and to hold them with excessive confidence
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